069: Tech Epochs (II)

Growing up, our early computers were slow, huge, and boxy.

Dial-up internet ran through the phone line.

And "software" was delivered in physical boxes via mail, installed by giant disk.

Two frameworks

Maybe you've seen this hype cycle graphic before?

It's a model for how new technologies (often) get adopted:

1️⃣ A spark of early promise and potential
2️⃣ A frothy peak of overblown expectations
3️⃣ An inevitable "trough of disillusionment"
4️⃣ Eventually, a more realistic equilibrium

Many have attempted to explain how new tools and ideas spread from a handful of intrepid early adopters to the more risk-averse, slow-moving majority (see: Diffusion of Innovations, or Crossing the Chasm).

How do innovations move from small, overlooked niches to become accepted mainstream "norms"?

When have you been an early vs. late adopter? What made the difference?

Why do some things drift quickly towards obsolescence, while others remain timeless, relevant, and evergreen?

Part I, ICYMI :

068: Tech Epochs (I)

A theory of tech cycles, by Douglas Adams.

The Fire JarJeremy Finch

Update!
Thanks for your replies :

071: Reader Mailbag (VII)

Reader reactions to “Tech Epochs”.

The Fire JarJeremy Finch

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